Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003142 0.003292 0.003446 0.003615 0.003795 0.003983 0.004191
2025-04-13 0.002792 0.003008 0.003237 0.003499 0.003790 0.004105 0.004474
2025-04-20 0.002634 0.002892 0.003173 0.003503 0.003881 0.004304 0.004816
2025-04-27 0.002544 0.002837 0.003163 0.003555 0.004015 0.004544 0.005204
2025-05-04 0.002420 0.002733 0.003087 0.003519 0.004039 0.004650 0.005429
2025-05-11 0.002322 0.002651 0.003028 0.003498 0.004072 0.004761 0.005661
2025-05-18 0.002234 0.002575 0.002972 0.003473 0.004097 0.004858 0.005874
2025-05-25 0.002197 0.002557 0.002982 0.003527 0.004217 0.005075 0.006248
2025-06-01 0.002132 0.002501 0.002942 0.003516 0.004252 0.005185 0.006483
2025-06-08 0.002064 0.002439 0.002892 0.003488 0.004264 0.005261 0.006674
2025-06-15 0.001989 0.002366 0.002824 0.003433 0.004237 0.005283 0.006791
2025-06-22 0.001923 0.002301 0.002766 0.003388 0.004219 0.005315 0.006919
2025-06-29 0.001881 0.002265 0.002742 0.003389 0.004262 0.005433 0.007177
2025-07-06 0.001794 0.002170 0.002640 0.003282 0.004157 0.005342 0.007129
2025-07-13 0.001759 0.002141 0.002622 0.003286 0.004202 0.005459 0.007389
2025-07-20 0.001744 0.002137 0.002637 0.003333 0.004307 0.005665 0.007791
2025-07-27 0.001698 0.002091 0.002594 0.003301 0.004299 0.005708 0.007946
2025-08-03 0.001660 0.002054 0.002561 0.003281 0.004308 0.005774 0.008137
2025-08-10 0.001622 0.002016 0.002528 0.003259 0.004311 0.005831 0.008317
2025-08-17 0.001613 0.002017 0.002545 0.003308 0.004419 0.006048 0.008763
2025-08-24 0.001583 0.001988 0.002522 0.003297 0.004439 0.006132 0.008997
2025-08-31 0.001549 0.001953 0.002488 0.003272 0.004435 0.006178 0.009169
2025-09-07 0.001508 0.001907 0.002439 0.003222 0.004393 0.006163 0.009234